Brent crude prices have more than doubled since the lows of late April, and while part of that is a reflection of the demand-driven recovery we’ve seen on a global basis, it is also the result of global oil producers
Oil in transit has been ramping up strongly in recent months, as more supply has come to market than expected. This could be interpreted as bullish, if it were not for rising floating storage volumes on a global basis.
US crude imports from Saudi Arabia have just hit a 16-month high, as tension increases between the two. Motiva’s Port Arthur refinery, among other things, mean Saudi energy flows are unlikely to be impacted by recent strained relations.
My latest appearance on the TD Ameritrade Network covered all manner of topics, including geopolitical tension with Iran, Saudi’s balancing act, contango in the Brent market, trade wars, even a bit of gasoline at the end.
Last night’s appearance on CNBC Asia highighted how OPEC production cuts are already being unwound by Saudi, UAE and Kuwait – reflected in significantly higher crude exports from all three so far this month.