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The Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring Report
Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week. Risk level: Yellow RED: Severe (+/- 4%) ORANGE: High (+/- […]
Tags: Barry, crude, EIA, IEA, Iran, Jeremey Hunt, nuclear deal, OPEC, Persian Gulf, Trump -
LNG Daily: Market Analysis
A big drain on US crude oil inventories and building anticipation ahead of the July conference for OPEC+ partners pushed crude oil prices sharply higher on Wednesday. Oil prices closed at $66.28/bbl for Brent and $59.25/bbl for WTI.
Tags: crude, LNG, oil, OPEC -
Beyond 2020: In the Markets – Frontera Energy to Market Two Grades of Colombian Vasconia Crude in 2020
Looking for new opportunities for Colombian medium-sour crude oil post 2020, Frontera Energy plans to segregate its current Vasconia stream into sweet and sour grades for two niche markets.
Tags: crude, IMO 2020, sour, sweet crude -
LNG Daily
Crude oil prices traded in mixed territory on Monday, mirroring the mixed messages on Washington’s strategy on Iran. Oil prices closed at $64.91/bbl for Brent and $57.85/bbl for WTI.
Tags: crude, Iran, LNG -
LNG Daily: Market Analysis
After President Trump said the region was a mere 10 minutes away from conflict, concerns about war in the Persian Gulf drove oil prices higher on Friday. Oil prices closed at $64.58/bbl for Brent and $57.64/bbl for WTI.
Tags: crude, LNG, Persian Gulf -
US Import Week – Crude: Disruptive Forces
After a busy week following Iran’s downing of a US unmanned drone, oil and product markets are now dealing with the fallout from the fire at the PES refinery in Philadelphia. It caused a moderate impact on crude oil imports so far and is likely to continue to be a factor in coming weeks.
Tags: crude, drone, Iran, Markets, US -
Domestic Crude Oil East: When The Levee Breaks
Floods in the Midwest repeatedly led to pipeline and crude-by-rail disruptions over the last few months. While domestic barge flows on the Mississippi were largely unaffected by the high water levels throughout April, the first cracks began to show in May.
Tags: crude, floods, pipeline -
China Crude Oil Week: Sour Strength
A confluence of events has led to significant declines in sour crude supply globally so far this year. But lower supply is not the only factor that has propped up sour crude prices in recent months.
Tags: china, crude, sour -
US Crude Balance Report: Continuing to Lighten Up
Following an extension of the OPEC output cuts and sanctions against Iran and Venezuela, it was widely speculated that these events would cause tremendous problems for US refiners and would finally lead to the large decline in US crude stocks that OPEC nations and oil bulls had been hoping for.
Tags: crude, OPEC, refining, US -
Global Crude Weekly: Refiner Realignment
When Washington first imposed sanctions on PdVSA in January, leaving US Gulf refiners looking to fill a 500,000 barrel per day gap of heavy-sour crude, Mexico was quick to step up to the plate.
Tags: crude, mexico, sanctions